Summary

• Commodities are often quoted in U.S. dollars, making commodities cheaper or more expensive to the rest of the world based on the direction of the dollar.
• The 12-month and 36-month rolling correlations of $DXY to S&P GSCI note an increasing negative correlation.
• Longer-term directional moves of the U.S. dollar may imply the general direction of commodities as a sector.

I recently spoke at an ETF conference about commodities. During the panel discussion I mentioned that commodities includes a lesser known 
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Copyright ©2016 Mark Shore. Contact Mark Shore for permission for republication at info@shorecapmgmt.com Mark Shore has more than 25 years of experience in the futures markets and managed futures, publishes research, consults on alternative investments and conducts educational workshops.www.shorecapmgmt.com 

Mark Shore is also an Adjunct Professor at DePaul University’s Kellstadt Graduate School of Business, where he teaches the only known accredited managed futures course in the country. He is also a Board Member of the Arditti Center for Risk Management at DePaul University.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is risk of loss when investing in futures and options. Futures and options can be a volatile and risky investment; only use appropriate risk capital; this investment is not for everyone. The opinions expressed are solely those of the author and are only for educational purposes. Please talk to your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Summary

• WTI Crude Oil futures is currently priced around the 30-year average. This makes the market on par with the longer-term average of the front-month futures contract.
• The 30-, 15- and five-year seasonality averages of WTI Crude Oil front-month futures show declines in the second half of the year.
• The seasonality data offers evidence for crude oil to form a long-term bottom.

Earlier this year, crude oil bounced off its multi-year low, and many market participants are now  READ MORE

Follow Mark Shore on Twitter, Facebook and Linkedin

Copyright ©2016 Mark Shore. Contact Mark Shore for permission for republication at info@shorecapmgmt.com Mark Shore has more than 25 years of experience in the futures markets and managed futures, publishes research, consults on alternative investments and conducts educational workshops.www.shorecapmgmt.com 

Mark Shore is also an Adjunct Professor at DePaul University’s Kellstadt Graduate School of Business, where he teaches the only known accredited managed futures course in the country. He is also a Board Member of the Arditti Center for Risk Management at DePaul University.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. There is risk of loss when investing in futures and options. Futures and options can be a volatile and risky investment; only use appropriate risk capital; this investment is not for everyone. The opinions expressed are solely those of the author and are only for educational purposes. Please talk to your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

CTA EXPO New York 2016
For the first time the New York event on April 21, 2016 will be a combination of the Emerging Manager Forum and CTA Expo. The Expo / Forum is a one day conference consisting of speakers and panels combined with extensive networking opportunities. Attendees can attend any of the presentations throughout the day or decide to talk and network with other industry professionals.
 
Topics include:
Presentation of the CTAExpo Lifetime Achievement Award
Recipient: Sol Waksman (Barclay Hedge, Ltd)

An Insider’s Look at Platforms…Their Selection and Use for Managers and Investors
The panel will discuss guidelines for making the decision that the use of a platform is the right decision for investors and managers and what criteria should be used when selecting a platform.

The Astrology of Alternatives…What Investors and Managers Should Expect in 2016 and Beyond
A bestselling author and globally recognized expert in alternatives investments will discuss the impact of current events on managers and the impact these events are having on investor decisions.
Bob Swarup, PhD. (Camdor Global)

Marketing Your Strategy & Out Marketing Your Competitors
Bruce Frumerman is an expert in helping financial service firms create brand identities for their organizations and in developing marketing strategies and programs. He will discuss how to differentiate yourself in a crowded investment landscape.

Keynote Speaker
Trading Traps…Too Many to Count
Peter Borish is a prominent alternative industry pioneer, investor and opinion leader. He will discuss roadblocks he has experienced during a successful career and their impact on investment decisions.
Peter Borish (Quad Capital)

Manager Operational Issues in 2016 and Their Impact on the Investment Decision
Research has shown about 80% of the investment decision a client makes is based on factors other than track record. Managers are confronted with new legal and operational issues each year. They must keep abreast of these issues to satisfy clients. The panelist will discuss new challenges that face managers in 2016 as a result of regulatory changes.

Emerging Manager Selection…An Investors Perspective
A look at what three asset allocators consider before they make a decision to invest with an Alternative Manager and what managers need to know before they market to the investment universe represented by each panelist.
​
Emerging Managers and Emerging Manger Investors…Opportunities in Marketing
and Investing in Europe
 
Date: Thursday April 21, 2016
Time: 8am to 4:30pm. Cocktail reception immediately following
Location: The Roosevelt Hotel, 45 E 45th Street, New York, New York,

​For more information and registration click here

The Applied Research Company and Shore Capital Research LLC have joined together on a futures market research report to be published very soon. Stay tuned for more details.

For questions email info@shorecapmgmt.com

The Professional Risk Managers' International Association (PRMIA) and CME Group Present

Innovations in Commodity Investing

The discussion will cover changing fundamentals for commodity investors such as backwardation and correlation; new ways to access commodity markets such as ETFs, swaps and futures and other emerging trends in the commodity markets.

This event is sponsored by the CME Group and PRMIA in association with CAIA.

Speakers include:  READ MORE

Follow Mark Shore on Twitter, Facebook and Linkedin

Mark Shore has more than 25 years of experience in the futures markets and managed futures, publishes research, consults on alternative investments and conducts educational workshops. www.shorecapmgmt.com 

Mark Shore is also an Adjunct Professor at DePaul University’s Kellstadt Graduate School of Business, where he teaches the only known accredited managed futures course in the country. He is also a Board Member of the Arditti Center for Risk Management at DePaul University.